Model-Supported Impact Assessment for the Water Sector in Central Germany Under Climate Change—A Case Study

Climate change challenges water managers and researchers to find sustainable management solutions, in order to avoid undesirable impacts on water resources, environment and water-dependent sectors. Needed are projections into the future for the main driving forces, the resulting pressures on water resources, and quantification of the impacts. Modeling studies can play an important role in investigating, quantifying, and communicating possible impacts of climate change, with account of uncertainty of the results. However, climate change related impacts and a need for adaptation still play a minor role in current river basin management plans that have to comply e.g. with the EU Water Framework Directive (WFD). One important reason is that climate impact assessment is generally done in research institutes, while management plans are designed by practitioners working in national and regional environmental agencies and water supply companies. Knowledge transfer from science to practice and visa versa is often missing. In the present study, we propose a methodology and a case study for model-supported decision making in the water sector applicable to a participatory water resources planning process. The methodology is applied in a case study investigating climate change impacts on water resources. The case study area is the German State of Saxony-Anhalt, where the task was to develop a climate change impact assessment including possible adaptation measures as basis for a federal adaptation directive.     

Load capacity of a thick-walled cylinder with a radial hole

The paper deals with elastic–plastic analysis of the stress–strain state in the vicinity of a hole in a thick-walled cylindrical pressure vessel. The investigations have been inspired by the phenomenon of ductile fracture observed in a high-pressure reactor. Using finite element calculations, different failure criteria are proposed to aid design and control of high-pressure vessels with piping attachments. They are compared with suggestions of American (ASME) and European (EN) standards. A simple shakedown analysis of the structure is also presented.     

The thermal degradation of acrylic pressure-sensitive adhesives based on butyl acrylate and acrylic acid

The thermal degradation of acrylic pressure-sensitive adhesives at 250 °C was investigated using pyrolysis-gas chromatography. Knowledge of the types and amounts of pyrolysis products will provide important information on the thermal degradation of acrylic adhesives and the mechanisms involved. Unsaturated monomers including butyl acrylate and butyl methacrylate were formed during thermal degradation of butyl acrylate–acrylic acid copolymers. As a result of side chain reactions in the thermal destruction of the butyl acrylate–acrylic acid-based self-adhesives, a remarkable amount of butyl alcohol was produced. The unsaturated monomers formed as a result of thermal degradation could potentially be used in a new polymerization process.     

Lower bound estimation of load-carrying capacity of thin-walled structures with intermediate stiffeners

The design of thin structures must take into account the overall instability and the instability of component plates in the form of local buckling. This investigation is concerned with the interactive buckling of thin-walled structures with central intermediate stiffeners under axial compression and/or a constant bending moment. The structures are assumed to be simply supported at the ends. The lower bound estimation of load-carrying capacity on the basis of the post-buckling behaviour of thin-walled structures with imperfections is studied when the distortional deformations are taken into account. The asymptotic expansion established by Byskov and Hutchinson (AIAA J. 15 (1977) 941) is employed in the numerical calculations performed using the transition matrix method. The present paper is a continuation of previous work by the authors (Int. J. Solids Struct. 32 (1995) 1501; 33 (1996) 315; 37 (2000) 3323), where the interactive buckling of thin-walled beam-columns with central intermediate stiffeners in the first- and the second-order approximation were considered. In the solution obtained, the transformation of buckling modes with an increase in the load up to the ultimate load, the effect of cross-sectional distortions and the shear lag phenomenon are included. The results obtained are compared with data reported by other authors.     

Symbiosis between systems engineering and hydrology

The system concepts of importance to hydrological sciences are reviewed. The epochs of the development of systems sciences are discussed and their links with hydrological and water resources research are illustrated. Potentials and limitations of the system approach are discussed and the perspectives of further applications are sketched.     

Photoacoustic inspection of thermal properties of layered structure with pulse excitations

This paper presents possibilities of analysis of thermal properties of layered structures basing on the results of photoacoustic investigations in pulse excitations mode. The influence of linear distortions on results of measurements is discussed and the method of its elimination is proposed. This method uses the concept of thermal contrasts for harmonic excitations.     

Assessment of the hydromorphological state of Carpathian rivers above and below reservoirs

The article presents the results of an assessment of the hydromorphological state of selected Carpathian rivers in sections above and below the reservoirs. An attempt has also been made to assess the impact of reservoirs on the hydromorphological conditions and quality of river habitats. The research was based on the River Habitat Survey (RHS) method. The synthetic indices Habitat Quality Assessment (HQA) and Habitat Modification Score (HMS) were calculated on the basis of the gathered data for each section studied; this allowed the hydromorphological qualities of the rivers to be assessed numerically. The reservoirs interrupt river continuum, and they alter different biotic and abiotic elements of natural environment. However, this study has shown that the operation of reservoirs does not always negatively impact the hydromorphological conditions of rivers that reflect their habitat quality. The influence of reservoirs on a river's hydromorphological state above and below a reservoir's location may be neutral, but it also can improve the habitat conditions of a river.     

Stiffness alterations of single cells induced by UV in the presence of nanoTiO2

Nanocrystalline titanium dioxide (nanoTiO2) has been reported to generate reactive oxygen species (ROS) under UV illumination. In our studies, changes in mechanical properties of human skin fibroblasts, exposed to the oxidative stress induced in the presence of nanoTiO2 and UV light, were studied using atomic force microscopy (AFM). The exposure of cells to the action of ROS was performed at low TiO2 concentration (4 microg/mL) and under illumination with low-intensity UVA (8 and 20 mW/cm2) or UVC (0.1 mW/ cm2). AFM measurements of the cell stiffness were carried out immediately after exposure of cells to the oxidative stress. The data suggest that under illumination with low-intensity UVA nanoTiO2 generates ROS, which, in turn, damage cellular and subcellular structures. This process was detected by AFM as a marked drop in the cellular stiffness of ca. 30-75%, which occurred rapidly, in the time frame of 1 min. The photo-oxidative stress inducing the decrease of cell stiffness was cancelled in the presence of a well-established antioxidant, beta-carotene. The results highlight the sensitivity of AFM to detect early changes in mechanical properties of cells exposed to oxidative stress.